Monday, June 10, 2013
Iran
Monday, June 10, 2013 by DXTR corporation
In Iran Race, All 8 Candidates Toe Hard Line on Nuclear Might
Newsha Tavakolian for The New York Times
By THOMAS ERDBRINK
Published: June 9, 2013
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TEHRAN — A group of chador-wearing female supporters of Iran’s nuclear
negotiator, Saeed Jalili, cheered wildly when he entered a packed
conference hall during a campaign stop at Tehran University last week.
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Newsha Tavakolian for The New York Times
“No compromise, no submission, only Jalili!” they shouted, while waving a
handwritten placard with the text: “Negotiating with Satan is against
the Koran.”
They are among many who support Mr. Jalili, who is the presidential
candidate favored by Iran’s hard-liners in Friday’s presidential
election.
He has built his campaign around implacable “100 percent” opposition to
compromise with the West over the country’s nuclear program. And while
he and the seven other carefully vetted candidates might disagree on
issues like women’s rights and economic troubles, when it comes to
Iran’s nuclear program they are all saying the same thing: there will be
no backing down, no bargaining away the nation’s perceived right to
enrich uranium for power generation.
Even his opponent on the far side of Iran’s narrow political spectrum,
the cleric Hassan Rowhani — the closest any of the candidates comes to
the reformist camp — avoids any mention of the word “compromise” when
discussing the nuclear program. He spends much of his time fending off
attacks from political opponents who accuse him of having already sold
out the country’s rights when he was the nuclear negotiator by
temporarily suspending uranium enrichment while under heavy
international pressure in 2004.
Hoping to force Iran to stop enriching uranium and begin negotiating in
earnest, the Obama administration has imposed tough economic sanctions
that appear to be wreaking havoc on Iran’s economy. But if the
presidential campaign is any indication, rather than forcing a
capitulation, the sanctions seem only to have stiffened Iran’s will to
resist.
“Year after year, America has imposed harsher sanctions on us,” said
Nader Karimi Joni, an Iranian journalist who is critical of certain
state polices. “Now, with these candidates, we see the consequences: the
sanctions hurt, but they have made our leaders much more determined.”
The stances of Mr. Jalili, the current nuclear negotiator, and Mr.
Rowhani, the former negotiator, illustrate how much Iran’s position has
hardened after a decade of escalating sanctions and increasing
international isolation.
Mr. Jalili, in particular, has turned the election into a referendum on
the country’s nuclear stance, banking on the support of Iran’s governing
establishment, a mix of conservative clerics and Islamic Revolutionary
Guards commanders for whom anti-Western sentiment is a staple.
Mr. Rowhani, who has been attracting support from some of the veterans
of the now silenced green movement, led the first rounds of negotiations
with Western countries, after the 2002 disclosure of Iran’s secret
nuclear program.
Under his watch, two years later, Iran temporarily suspended enrichment
of uranium as a confidence-building measure, but the Western powers
stood by their demand that the entire program be terminated, accusing
Iran of seeking nuclear weapons.
Mr. Rowhani now finds himself mocked by the Jalili camp, which cites
those negotiations as an example of ignorance and weakness.
“We disarmed ourselves” by suspending enrichment, an official of Mr.
Jalili’s campaign said in a film shown on state television last week.
“They assumed we would suspend, shut down and destroy our nuclear
facilities,” Mr. Jalili himself says in the film, quoting Joschka
Fischer, who was then Germany’s foreign minister. “Resistance is the
solution to our problems,” he says over and over again.
As talks waxed and waned, Iran’s nuclear program ballooned. Following
the end of suspension in 2005, Iran went from having two dozen test
centrifuges to having nearly 17,000, according to the May 2013 report by the International Atomic Energy Agency.
The current sanctions against Iran have slashed the value of its
currency, aggravated its already high inflation rate and cut many of its
financial ties to the rest of the world. Iran is increasingly resorting
to barter trade with remaining oil buyers India and China as financial
transactions have become nearly impossible.
(Page 2 of 2)
But there are few if any signs of the sanctions’ effects on Iran’s
streets. Gas stations have plenty of fuel, supermarket shelves are still
filled and in recent months the currency, which lost half of its value
over the past year, has been stable.
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To give in to the pressure would hurt Iran’s negotiation position, all
the candidates agree. “Only on the day that the Americans lose hope in
all sorts of plots, military war and economic war, will we be able to
hold talks based on logic,” another candidate, Gholam Ali Haddad Adel,
said on state television.
“Logic” is a code word, analysts say, which translates as accepting the
Iranian position that it has a “right” to enrichment without
restrictions.
Mr. Rowhani, a close ally of the pragmatic Ayatollah Ali Akbar Hashemi
Rafsanjani, who was barred from the race by the conservative Guardian
Council, is one of just a few prominent politicians proposing better
relations with the outside world.
And he offered a pointed reminder in a televised debate by presidential
candidates on Friday, noting that the suspension of enrichment in 2004
happened “under the leader’s guidance,” meaning that Iran’s supreme
leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, had signed off on it.
There are other politicians who have questioned the government’s recent
negotiating stance, if not the commitment to nuclear development.
During the debate, one presidential candidate, Ali Akbar Velayati, a
former foreign policy adviser to Mr. Khamenei, argued that Mr. Jalili,
with all his talk of never compromising, had in essence made no
progress, either.
“You want to take 3 steps, and you expect the other side to take 100
steps. This means you don’t want to make progress,” Mr. Velayati said.
“We can’t expect everything and give nothing.”
Many analysts, however, note that two major factors run against any
softening: widespread public support for nuclear power and, even more
important, the will of Ayatollah Khamenei.
“It is our people who do not allow the candidates to talk of
compromise,” said Hamid Reza Taraghi, an analyst with viewpoints close
to that of Iran’s governing establishment of conservative clerics and
military commanders. “And our supreme leader also says there is no room
for a nuclear compromise.”
In an address on Tuesday, Ayatollah Khamenei acknowledged that Iran was
suffering from economic problems and inflation, but he stressed that
anybody thinking that appeasing Western countries was the key to a
solution was mistaken.
“Some have this wrong analysis that we should make concessions to the
enemy in order to lighten the anger they have against us,” Mr. Khamenei
told an audience at the annual commemoration of the death of the founder
of the Islamic republic, Ayatollah Khomeini. “In fact, they prefer the
enemy’s interests to the interests of the nation. This is wrong.”
SOURCE:The New York Times (www.nytimes.com)
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