Tuesday, March 11, 2014
Ukraine Vs Russia
Tuesday, March 11, 2014 by DXTR corporation
20 questions: What is Russia's interest in Ukraine?
By Saeed Ahmed. Greg Botelho and Eliott C. McLaughlin, CNN
March 4, 2014 -- Updated 0613 GMT (1413 HKT)
Ukrainian soldiers load armored personnel carriers into boxcars in the western Ukrainian city of Lviv on March 8.
HIDE CAPTION
Crisis in Ukraine
- West threatens consequences as Russia approves military action in Ukraine
- Ukraine has been rattled by anti-government protests since November
- The trigger then was the President's decision not to sign a trade pact with the EU
- Ukraine is split: Some want to align more with the West, others favor Russia
The acting prime minister
has gone so far as to say that a Russian invasion would mean war and an
end to his country's relationship with Russia.
But there are so many
questions as to how Ukraine arrived at this point: Why is Russia so
interested in happenings there? Why does the West want to prevent
Russian intervention? How did we get here? Why have thousands of
protesters staked their lives, seemingly, on their desire for political
change? And why has the government resisted their calls so vehemently?
Let's take a look:
Soldier: Yes, I am a Russian
Obama tells Russia: Stay out of Ukraine
Official: Russian troops are in Crimea
Obama to Russia: 'There will be costs'
1. Why has Russia gotten so involved?
Eastern Ukraine and the
Crimea have closer ties to Russia, while Western Ukraine is more
friendly with Europe. Many Eastern Ukrainians still speak Russian, and
the 2010 presidential elections divided the country with Eastern Ukraine
voting heavily in favor of pro-Russia Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovych.
On Saturday, the Kremlin issued a statement that Russian President
Vladimir Putin told U.S. President Barack Obama that Russia approved
military action in Ukraine because it "reserves the right to defend its
interests and the Russian-speaking people who live there."
2. Hasn't Yanukovych stepped down?
The Ukraine Parliament
voted him out of power and he has fled to Russia. However, in a press
conference Friday, the former President said -- in Russian rather than
Ukrainian -- that he was not overthrown. He insisted he was still the
boss and that he wants nothing more than to lead his country to peace,
harmony and prosperity. While it's unclear if he could return to power,
Russia's ambassador to the United Nations blamed members of the European
Union for the bloody demonstrations that led to Yanukovych's ouster.
3. What will happen in Ukraine if Russia sends troops there?
Top Ukrainian officials,
including the acting President and prime minister, have said they are
prepared to defend the country. They've also said that any invasion
would be illegitimate, a response echoed by the United States, which has
told Russia to respect Ukraine's sovereignty.
4. Would there be international backlash to a Russian incursion?
The United Nations has
warned Russia against military action, while Secretary-General Ban
Ki-moon told Putin "dialogue must be the only tool in ending the
crisis." International leaders have also denounced the prospect of
Russian involvement, while Obama has warned there would be consequences
if Russia acted militarily.
5. What sort of consequences?
Obama hasn't been
specific other than to say Russia could face "greater political and
economic isolation" and that the United States "will suspend upcoming
participation in preparatory meetings for the G-8" in Sochi. Several
Republican leaders in Congress have called on the President to take a
tougher stand.
6. What are Obama's options?
Sanctions, of course,
top the list of options, but the United States will need to prepare for
the backlash. Former presidential adviser David Gergen says Putin would
consider any sanctions "small potatoes" compared to keeping control of
Crimea, while Putin could pull his support for Obama's initiative to
reduce nuclear threats in the world, including in Iran. Christopher
Hill, former U.S. ambassador to South Korea, Macedonia, Iraq and Poland,
says imposing sanctions also raises the risk of alienating a
superpower. "That means 20 years of trying to work with Russia down the
drain," he said.
7. What started the turmoil in Ukraine?
Protests initially
erupted over a trade pact. For a year, Yanukovych insisted he was intent
on signing a historical political and trade agreement with the European
Union. But on November 21, he decided to suspend talks with the EU.
8. What would the pact have done?
The deal, the EU's
"Eastern Partnership," would have created closer political ties and
generated economic growth. It would have opened borders to trade and set
the stage for modernization and inclusion, supporters of the pact said.
9. Why did Yanukovych backpedal?
He had his reasons.
Chief among them was Russia's opposition to it. Russia threatened its
much smaller neighbor with trade sanctions and steep gas bills if
Ukraine forged ahead. If Ukraine didn't, and instead joined a Moscow-led
Customs Union, it would get deep discounts on natural gas, Russia said.
10. Were there any other reasons?
Yes, a more personal
one. Yanukovych also was facing a key EU demand that he was unwilling to
meet: Free former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko, his bitter political
opponent. Two years ago, she was found guilty of abuse of office in a
Russian gas deal and sentenced to seven years in prison, in a case
widely seen as politically motivated. Her supporters say she needs to
travel abroad for medical treatment.
11. What happened next?
Many Ukrainians were
outraged. They took to the streets, demanding that Yanukovych sign the
EU deal. Their numbers swelled. The demonstrations drew parallels to
Ukraine's 2004 Orange Revolution, which booted Yanukovych, then a prime
minister, from office.
12. Who's heading the opposition?
It's not just one
figure, but a coalition. The best known figure is Vitali Klitschko. He's
a former world champion boxer (just like his brother Wladimir).
Klitschko heads the Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reforms party. But
the opposition bloc goes well beyond Klitschko and the UDAR. There's
also Arseniy Yatsenyuk.
13. How did Yanukovych react?
Kiev: Russia's move is direct aggression
Russia OKs military force in Ukraine
David Remnick: Putin is playing with fire
U.S. Military options in Ukraine
In a way that inflamed
passions further. He flew to Moscow, where he and Russian President
Vladimir Putin announced Russia would buy $15 billion in Ukrainian debt
and slash the price Kiev pays for its gas. And then, when the
demonstrations showed no signs of dying down, he adopted a sweeping
anti-protest law.
14. What did the anti-protest law say?
The law barred people
from wearing helmets and masks to rallies and from setting up tents or
sound equipment without prior police permission. This sparked concerns
it could be used to put down demonstrations and deny people the right to
free speech -- and clashes soon escalated. The demonstrators took over
City Hall for the better part of three months.
15. But wasn't the law repealed?
Yes, ultimately it was.
Amid intense pressure, deputies loyal to Yanukovych backtracked and
overturned it. But by then, the protests had become about something much
bigger: constitutional reform.
16. What change in the constitution did they want to see?
The protesters want to
see a change in the government's overall power structure. They feel that
too much power rests with Yanukovych and not enough with parliament.
17. What did the government do?
In late January, the
President offered a package of concessions under which Yatsenyuk, the
opposition leader, would have become the prime minister and, under the
President's offer, been able to dismiss the government. He also offered
Klitschko the post of deputy prime minister on humanitarian issues. He
also agreed to a working group looking at changes to the constitution.
But the opposition refused.
18. Why did the opposition pass on the offer?
The concessions weren't
enough to satisfy them. They said Yanukovych had hardly loosened his
grip on the government, nor had he seemingly reined in authorities'
approach to protesters. "We're finishing what we started," Yatsenyuk
said.
19. Who was to blame for the clashes?
Depends on whom you ask. The government pointed the finger at protesters. The opposition, in turn, blamed the government.
20. What's the takeaway here?
Street protests that
started in November over a trade pact swelled into something much bigger
-- resulting in the former President fleeing to Russia for safety while
still claiming to be the official leader of the country. With Russian
troops rumored to be preparing for hostilities in the Crimea, the future
of the region and the resulting effect on U.S.-Russian relations
appears shaky.
Source:CNN News International
Tags:
Europe
Source:CNN News International
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