Friday, August 23, 2013
Syria
Friday, August 23, 2013 by DXTR corporation
Suffering in Syria is clear, but cause and culprits are murky
By Tim Lister, CNN
August 22, 2013 -- Updated 0037 GMT (0837 HKT)
People search the rubble of a bombed building in Aleppo, Syria, on Friday, August 16.
HIDE CAPTION
Syrian civil war in photos
STORY HIGHLIGHTS
- Videos of suffering and dying Syrians suggest a chemical attack, but verification is difficult
- Bashar al-Assad's government, rebels trade accusations, denials about event on Wednesday
- Outside experts are unsure if there was a chemical attack, and if so, what agent was used
Elsewhere, dozens of
white shrouds appear to hold the corpses of adults, the names of the
victims written hurriedly on the cloth.
There was some sort of
ghastly event in the suburbs of Damascus early on Wednesday: the sheer
volume of material uploaded within a short time span and the consistent
testimony of medical staff attest to that.
But there are as many
questions as answers. The victims showed no sign of injury; there was
none of the bloodshed associated with artillery attacks, no wounded,
dust-covered people being dug from buildings reduced to ruins.
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It was impossible to know
how many had died and exactly where or why. By the end of the day, the
Local Coordination Committees were reporting that more than 1,300 people
had been killed in areas around Damascus, some 400 in the neighborhood
of Zamalka alone.
Even by the standards of
Syria's remorseless conflict, that would represent a catastrophic day.
But there was no way to verify such figures: mass burials began within
hours, and of course, there was no access to the area for independent
observers.
Accusations fly
Opposition activists
almost immediately alleged President Bashar al-Assad's regime had used
chemical weapons against districts long controlled by rebel groups. It
is not the first such allegation; some activists were soon claiming the
regime had used sarin, a nerve agent that it is widely thought to
possess. Residents spoke of dizziness and choking, convulsions and
difficulty breathing, which would be consistent with the symptoms of
sarin poisoning. But some victims appeared to have died in their sleep,
undisturbed, according to local reports.
The Syrian government dismissed the claims of chemical weapons being used as "disillusioned and fabricated."
Some opposition
activists say the toxin used may have been "Agent 15," also known as BZ.
Its full name is 3-quinuclidinyl benzilate, and it affects both the
peripheral and central nervous systems.
The opposition claimed
that BZ was used in tank shells fired in the city of Homs last December.
A doctor in the city told the online publication "The Cable" soon after
that the victims "all had miosis -- pinpoint pupils. They also had
generalized muscle pain. There were also bad symptoms as far as their
central nervous system. There were generalized seizures, and some
patients had partial seizures."
Physicians for Human
Rights, a non-governmental organization, says that BZ induces a
"severely altered mental status (hallucinations, giddiness, confusion);
lack of secretions -- dry mucous membranes, dry mouth, eyes, skin;
dilated pupils, blurred vision, nausea, vomiting."
But the reports from
Homs, like so many of the allegations to emerge from Syria, were never
confirmed. The next month, the U.S. State Department said it had "found
no credible evidence to corroborate or to confirm that chemical weapons
were used" in Homs. Some experts doubt the Assad regime possesses BZ.
Claims of massacre in Syria
Could Syria destabilize the Middle East?
Syria: Are these chemical attacks?
Syria accused of using chemical agents
Syrian refugees flee into northern Iraq
Perhaps more significant
is an account from the spring of this year, when Jean-Philippe Remy
from the French newspaper Le Monde spent weeks in and around Jobar, the
opposition-held district on the edge of Damascus that saw many of the
casualties early Wednesday.
"No odor, no smoke, not even a whistle to indicate the release of a toxic gas,"
he reported "And then the symptoms appear. The men cough violently.
Their eyes burn, their pupils shrink, their vision blurs. Soon they
experience difficulty breathing, sometimes in the extreme; they begin to
vomit or lose consciousness."
"The people who arrive
have trouble breathing," a doctor told Le Monde. "They've lost their
hearing, they cannot speak, their respiratory muscles have been inert.
If we don't give them immediate emergency treatment, death ensues."
"In Jobar, the fighters
did not desert their positions, but those who stayed on the front lines
-- with constricted pupils and wheezing breath," Remy reported.
Outsiders unsure of the cause
Independent experts who studied Wednesday's videos were unsure of the cause.
Gwyn Winfield, editorial
director at the magazine CBRNe World -- which reports on chemical,
biological, radiological, nuclear or explosives use -- analyzed the
videos and wrote on the magazine's site: "Clearly respiratory distress,
some nerve spasms and a half-hearted washdown (involving water and bare
hands?), but it could equally be a riot control agent as a (chemical
warfare agent)."
The allegations that
some sort of chemical weapons were used came amid an ongoing government
assault on rebel-held areas around Damascus - such as Douma and
Mouadamiya - with artillery and air strikes further complicating the
picture. The Syrian military's goal is to push the rebels back, thereby
reducing mortar attacks on the heart of the capital. That offensive
continued Wednesday, according to opposition activists in Jobar and
Ghouta.
Some analysts speculated
that a stockpile of chemical agents may have been hit by shelling,
whether controlled by the rebels or the regime. But that would not
explain the number of neighborhoods -- some several miles apart -- where
the same symptoms were reported among victims.
U.N. chemical weapons inspectors in Damascus
There is also the
question of motive and timing, if regime forces were responsible. Just a
few miles from those terrible scenes, a team of United Nations chemical weapons inspectors -- led by a well-qualified Swede -- were asleep at their hotel.
Russia -- an ally of the
Assad regime -- made that point immediately. A Foreign Ministry
statement from Moscow noted that "the criminal act was committed near
Damascus at the very moment when a mission of U.N. experts had
successfully started their work of investigating allegations of the
possible use of chemical weapons there."
But the terms of the
inspectors' visit are tightly prescribed; they are only permitted to
visit three sites where chemical weapons are alleged to have been used
in the past.
Government forces did
not appear to be in imminent danger of being overrun by rebel factions
in the areas concerned; in fact, many observers believe a bloody
stalemate has set in around Damascus. And regime forces have also made
gains recently against rebels around Homs and elsewhere. Why would it
risk an action that would likely kill hundreds in a heavily-populated
area and risk stirring up an international appetite for intervention?
Would it also have
risked using an agent as lethal as sarin just a few kilometers from the
heart of Damascus -- to both the southwest and northeast of the city --
on what appears to have been a quite windy night?
The European Union believes the Syrian government was the most likely culprit.
"We have seen with grave
concern the reports of the possible use of chemical weapons by the
Syrian regime, said the EU's Foreign Policy chief, Catherine
Ashton."Such accusations should be immediately and thoroughly
investigated."
The White House made a very similar statement.
In a familiar ritual,
Russia quickly pointed the finger at rebel forces, alleging that "a
homemade rocket, analogous to that which was used by terrorists on the
19th of March in Khan al-Asal, containing a so-far-undefined poisonous
substance, was launched from positions held by the fighters" early on
Wednesday morning. The incident in Khan al-Asal, near Aleppo, was
reported to have left 19 people dead.
Some observers also
point to claims on jihadist websites that rebels have seized chemical
weapons equipment after overrunning government bases such as one outside
Aleppo in July 2012.
Supporters of the Assad
government claim that Wednesday's reports are very convenient for the
opposition as it tries to spur the international community to action
just as events in Egypt have claimed the front pages.
Little hope for change
George Sabra, president
of the Syrian National Council, an umbrella group of Assad opponents,
said in Istanbul: "It's not the first time in which the regime used
chemical weapons ... but it presents a move by the regime, because they
are doing it with impunity....The United Nations will be puzzled, and
the U.S. will announce more red lines, and will leave it in the air."
Given the stated
positions of the great powers, an emergency meeting of the UN Security
Council seems unlikely to prompt decisive international action. Perhaps
the world will never know whether the events of August 21, 2013, around
Damascus amounted to the most widespread use of chemical agents since
Saddam Hussein's bombardment of the Kurdish town of Halabja 25 years
before.
Source:CNN News International
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